No, I'm saying it is a contributing factor. Sure, and you can say that merely stepping into a car increases your likelihood of an accident. But that's not the point. The point is that the combination of what you correctly identified as lack of general driving experience, coupled with transmission which you constantly need to devote some portion of your conscious or, later, subconscious mental assets to, does not compare favorably to a scenario where you only need to pay attention to the stuff going on outside your car (whose incorrect identification / evaluation is the cause of most accidents anyway) instead of inside it. And to those that say it only takes several hours to get totally used to manual... Well, let's just say that my experience is different. And I passed both of my driving exams (theoretical and practical) on the first try, so it's not like I am a hopeless driver either.